My Nightmare With Spongebob
-a Reevaluation of Fearless Forecast '05
from 
JoeUser Forums
JoeUser Forums
Imagine this animated character Link
chasing me throughout his aquatic environment crying, " I WANT TO WRING YOURR NECKK!!!". The thought of double asphyxiation - from strangling and from drowning -woke me up shaken and in cold sweat. The recollection was fuzzy, but I did put out a blog by Yearend '04 forecasting the shape of things to come in '05Link
and as a challenge, mentioned that the forecast could be called Spongebob's instead of Scatter's if indeed the forecast turned out to be untrue.
Now out of my nightmare comes Spongebob exacting vengeance and insisting the forecast was his. Yes, the Yearend '05 was the proper timing for a forecast reevaluation, but I had to find closure with this. Is the Forecast mine or Spongebob's ?
Man, I was thirsty, but the thought of all that water made me empty the drinking glass in sips instead of gulps. So, to settle this, here's this matrix....
'05 Forecast ...............................................Spongebob's Pts......................................................Scatter's Pts
1)Weaker USDollar
To Euro.................................................................(+)
Link
2) Higher Social Security.......................................................................................................................(+} Costs
3) Gold will rise........................................................................................................................................(+)
4) IT Companies profit...........................................................................................................................(+)
5) Interest Rates Rise............................................................................................................................(+)
6) Oil Prices Rise.....................................................................................................................................(+)
7) Birth of Palestine State..........................................(+)
8) Iraq War Will continue...........................................................................................................................(+)
9) Iraq Elections Reset...............................................(+)
10)Incr. US Troops in Iraq............................................(+)
11)Bin Laden not Found.............................................................................................................................(+)
12)Rise of Islamic Militancy in Cntrl. Asia.............................................................................................................................................. (+)
13)Saudi Monarchy to continue.................................................................................................................................................(+)
14)Al Qaeda Acquires WMD from Russian Blackmarket.....(+)
15)2nd Minor Al Qaeda Hit in US............................(+)
16)JI Hits in SEA.............................................................................................................................................(+)
17)China Strengthens ASEAN ties..............................................................................................................(+)
18)Putin to join EU...........................................(+)
..........................................................(________).....................................................................(_________) .....................................................TOTAL 7/18 = 38.8%.......................................................... .11/18 = 61.1%
"Putin had previously brought up the proposal to switch to euros as prime minister in October 1999, at a meeting of EU leaders in Helsinki. Then, in an attempt to forge a new bloc to counterbalance the United States, he made the proposal alongside calling for closer cooperation between Russia and the EU, including on security issues..Link
The last 2 messages Putin put out was (1) "You think I have no alternative?" (read joint military exercises with China) (2) "Top that !"(Gazprom leaves Europe and Ukraine cold)
So, there, by a margin of 61 %, the Fearless Forecast is Scatter's. And you, Spongebob, you stay in the tube.