John Dvorak's new column in the current issue of PC Magazine argues that blogging is going to "bite the dust" owing primarily to 2 factors: Popular bloggers being co-opted by big media with everyone else being too obscure to keep the trend going.

This article at JoeUser.com argues that just the opposite is happening. What do you think?

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Reply #1 Top
It's been a while since I've read any of his columns, so I might have to go read a few to see if my impressions have changed.

He was a generally decent technical columnist, but a poor prognosticator. I don't think he's had even a 1 in 20 hit rate on his predictions.

Dvorak is far from the first to disparage blogging, both as a concept and as an avenue for expression. It's my feeling that many of these naysayers are scared to death of being irrelevant (and as a result, generally become irrelevant *because* of their fears).

Reply #2 Top
John Dvorak is one of many reasons I stopped subscribing to PC Mag. Looks as though he still is having trouble getting it right.
Reply #3 Top
nah, i dont really care, bloggin is nice, its basically, a new type of media. i never read, nor heard of this Dvorak dude, just now. all i know is that draginol is the main guy there.
Reply #5 Top
Honestly, it is like the term 'blog' has replaced what would have been known as a 'webpage' in the early 90's; the single page, personal site. Since people have gotten more technically savvy with their HTML, everything has become topic-oriented webSITEs, and the personal page has kind of died. To me, the blog thing is a return to that idea.

That said, I don't think it will ever "die", but anything so broadly defined is gonna suffer a bit of drift. You don't know what you are gonna get when you visit a blog. I remember the first blogs I ever went to were long lists of interesting "FYI" links with short descriptions. Now they can be akin to a diary, a soapbox, a tutorial, pretty much anything.

I think 'blogging' will just subdivide and acquire more complex taxonomy as their content grows more varied and people want to frequent particular flavors.
Reply #6 Top
Dvorak's a pointless blowhard 90% of the time he's expounding on the latest trend. Maybe he gets some points in every once in a while, but it's been over a year since I've done more than skim his columns. That's usually all it takes to figure what his "angle" for a given article is.
Reply #7 Top
Baker just said what I had in mind. There is nothing new about "blogging". It's just a label being put on something that's been around since day one.
Reply #8 Top

Crae, Baker, yea, totally agree.


What I do think has changed is that a certain type of blogging (a certain type of personal web page) has caught on - indie journalism.